[SystemSafety] UC UC Volvo has an accident

Corkery Tony TCORKERY at qinetiq.com
Mon Jun 8 12:25:36 CEST 2015


Thanks for the reminder, he now has 'Target Risk 3' an updated 2014 version available for free download from his site:

http://riskhomeostasis.org/


Cheers
Tony Corkery


-----Original Message-----
From: nfr [mailto:felix.redmill at newcastle.ac.uk] 
Sent: 08 June 2015 10:12
To: Corkery Tony
Cc: Peter Bernard Ladkin; The System Safety List
Subject: Re: [SystemSafety] UC Volvo has an accident

You may also know that Gerry Wilde later wrote a book - "Target Risk", an interesting book - on the subject. 
I haven't checked recently, but it used to be available on the web.
Felix.


> On 8 Jun 2015, at 09:05, Corkery Tony <TCORKERY at qinetiq.com> wrote:
> 
> An interesting post and it certainly brought to mind Risk Compensation behaviour from the very start.  However, in your last paragraph you imply the theory of Risk Homeostasis was proposed by John Adams.  Whilst John Adams does discuss this topic at length in his books 'Risk' and 'Risk and Freedom', the theory was actually proposed by Prof Gerald J.S. Wilde:
> 
> Wilde, G.J.S., 1982. The theory of risk homeostasis: Implications for safety and health. Risk Anal., 2: 209-225.
> 
> I mention this just because it is the second time in the space of a fortnight where I have experienced John Adams  being given inappropriate credit for this theory.
> 
> Cheers
> Tony Corkery
> 
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: systemsafety-bounces at lists.techfak.uni-bielefeld.de [mailto:systemsafety-bounces at lists.techfak.uni-bielefeld.de] On Behalf Of Peter Bernard Ladkin
> Sent: 05 June 2015 13:18
> To: The System Safety List
> Subject: [SystemSafety] Volvo has an accident
> 
> -----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE-----
> Hash: SHA256
> 
> ... but not the one the news has been emphasising. I just sent off a short Risks note, and wrote the following blog post
> 
> http://www.abnormaldistribution.org/2015/06/05/volvo-has-an-accident/
> 
> PBL
> 
> Prof. Peter Bernard Ladkin, Faculty of Technology, University of Bielefeld, 33594 Bielefeld, Germany Je suis Charlie
> Tel+msg +49 (0)521 880 7319  www.rvs.uni-bielefeld.de
> 

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