[SystemSafety] How Many Miles of Driving Would It Take to Demonstrate Autonomous Vehicle Reliability?

[Fredrik Asplund]

I read through these some time back (automation focus, rather than only on autonomy), which should be relevant to the topic:

http://www.jnd.org/dn.mss/Norman-overautomation.pdf
http://www.ise.ncsu.edu/nsf_itr/794B/papers/Parasuraman_Riley_1997_HF.pdf
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/23586654_Pilot_Interaction_With_Cockpit_Automation_Operational_Experiences_With_the_Flight_Management_System
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.87.2165&rep=rep1&type=pdf

These are freely available via the links, but, as PBL pointed out, you have to pay for or visit a (university) library to get access to better sources. I find most of these are quite old though, with a lot of the newer ones just being reclassifications of old terminology.

Sincerely,
/ Fredrik

-----Original Message-----
From: systemsafety [mailto:systemsafety-bounces at lists.techfak.uni-bielefeld.de] On Behalf Of Michael J. Pont
Sent: den 13 juni 2016 09:01
To: systemsafety at lists.techfak.uni-bielefeld.de
Subject: Re: [SystemSafety] How Many Miles of Driving Would It Take to Demonstrate Autonomous Vehicle Reliability?

PBL wrote:
"When the automation is doing its thing, a human monitor is often cognitively "outside the loop". In a typical design, when the automation is unable to resolve a situation, it hands over control to a human, who needs suddenly to be "in the loop" again to resolve a situation which the automation has found too tricky to handle. This cognitive switch can be difficult and used to be regarded as unreliable."

I downloaded this document recently:

Trimble, T. E., Bishop, R., Morgan, J. F., & Blanco, M. (2014, July). Human factors evaluation of level 2 and level 3 automated driving concepts: Past research, state of automation technology, and emerging system concepts.
(Report No. DOT HS 812 043). Washington, DC: National Highway Traffic Safety Administration.

It appears to be relevant (but I confess that I've not yet had a chance to do more than skim through it).

This dates from 2014 and is essentially a literature review.  There may, by now, be some further relevant publications from NHTSA.

Michael.

Michael J. Pont
www.SafeTTy.net 
 





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