[SystemSafety] Accuracy of COVID modeling code

Rob Alexander rob.alexander at york.ac.uk
Wed May 6 17:57:13 CEST 2020

Hi all,

My understanding is:

* The model Derek discusses at
is that used in Imperial College's "Report 13"
* The model now available (since 27 April) at
https://github.com/mrc-ide/covid-sim is ostensibly the model used in
their extremely-influential "Report 9", although it's been cleaned up
since then. Earliest commit looks to be 22 April.


On Wed, 6 May 2020 at 13:02, Derek M Jones <derek at knosof.co.uk> wrote:
> All,
> Governments are making Coronavirus decisions based on the predictions
> of models.
> Model predictions depend on the accuracy of the model and the accuracy
> of the code implementing the model.
> Some comments on the original, broad brush model:
> http://shape-of-code.coding-guidelines.com/2020/04/05/comments-on-the-covid-19-model-source-code-from-imperial/
> Now we have a detailed model, which I suspect is very new:
> https://github.com/mrc-ide/covid-sim
> I have not had much luck in drumming up reviewers for the earlier
> models.
> Please reach out to people with the expertise to review this new code.
> --
> Derek M. Jones           Evidence-based software engineering
> tel: +44 (0)1252 520667  blog:shape-of-code.coding-guidelines.com
> _______________________________________________
> The System Safety Mailing List
> systemsafety at TechFak.Uni-Bielefeld.DE
> Manage your subscription: https://lists.techfak.uni-bielefeld.de/mailman/listinfo/systemsafety

Dr Rob Alexander
Lecturer in High Integrity Systems Engineering
Department of Computer Science
The University of York, Deramore Lane, York, YO10 5GH, UK
Tel: 01904 325474  http://www.cs.york.ac.uk/~rda/

If we can disclaim it, we do --- http://www.york.ac.uk/docs/disclaimer/email.htm

More information about the systemsafety mailing list